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Analisis Hubungan Ekspor, Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, dan Kesempatan Kerja di Provinsi Bali : Pengujian Vector Auto Regression

机译:巴厘岛省出口关系,经济增长和就业机会分析:检验向量自回归

摘要

Economic development can\u27t be separated from the role of human resources for its human resources or labor is an important factor to realize do the construction is running as expected and effectively. Employment opportunities can not be separated from economic growth while ertumbuhan economic driven by export. Based on it, research aims to understand relations causality a reciprocal between export, economic growth and job opportunities in Bali province. This research using the kind of data sekuder to technique data analysis vector auto regressive (VAR). Trail phases namely the unit root, the lag steady, granger causality test, the var , the response , and variance decomposition .The results showed variable testing third there was no correlation causality ( relationships ) in Bali province in the period this research. Testing var obtainable test results that export t-1 influenced exports and economic growth influenced petumbuhan t-1 economy. Testing last variance decomposition obtainable that export contribution towards economic growth much better compared to employment opportunities otherwise employment opportunities contribution better given by economic growth.
机译:经济发展离不开人力资源的作用,因为其人力资源或劳动力是实现建设如期有效开展的重要因素。就业机会不能与经济增长分开,而经济是由出口驱动的。在此基础上,研究旨在了解关系因果关系,这是巴厘岛省出口,经济增长与就业机会之间的倒数。本研究使用一种数据sekuder技术对数据分析向量自回归(VAR)进行技术分析。追踪阶段包括单位根,滞后平稳,格兰杰因果关系检验,var,响应和方差分解。结果表明,变量测试第三阶段在本研究期间巴厘岛省没有相关因果关系。测试var获得的测试结果表明出口t-1影响了出口,而经济增长影响了petumbuhan t-1经济。检验最后的方差分解,可以得出出口对经济增长的贡献要比就业机会好得多,否则,就业机会对经济增长的贡献要好得多。

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